Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Alexa Grasso won · SUB R4
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupValentina Shevchenko: WrestlervsAlexa Grasso: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Alexa Grasso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Valentina Shevchenko has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Valentina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Alexa Grasso
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
38
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valentina ShevchenkoW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Sep 21W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22W
vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25W
vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25Alexa Grasso
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Joanne Wood · Mar 22W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valentina ShevchenkoMetricAlexa Grasso
3.04
Strikes / min
4.11
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
63%
Strike defense
58%
2.65
TDs / 15 min
0.40
76%
Takedown defense
54%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Valentina ShevchenkoAlexa Grasso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Alexa Grasso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+86.6-86.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Valentina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights18
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14