Women's Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Valentina Shevchenko won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2017·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Valentina Shevchenko has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Valentina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Julianna Pena
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
38
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valentina ShevchenkoW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23W
vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25W
vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25Julianna Pena
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Jan 21W
SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 21L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jul 22W
vs Raquel Pennington · Oct 24L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valentina ShevchenkoMetricJulianna Pena
3.04
Strikes / min
3.10
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.56
63%
Strike defense
57%
2.65
TDs / 15 min
1.70
76%
Takedown defense
24%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Valentina ShevchenkoJulianna Pena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Julianna Pena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.841.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Valentina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights18
Julianna Pena
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights12