Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Valentina Shevchenko won · KO/TKO R4
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupValentina Shevchenko: WrestlervsLauren Murphy: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(58.1%)
Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Valentina Shevchenko (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Valentina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Lauren Murphy
Blue Corner
-1375
(93%)
Vegas Odds
+800
(11%)
38
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valentina ShevchenkoW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23W
vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25W
vs Zhang Weili · Nov 25Lauren MurphyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Liliya Shakirova · Oct 20W
vs Joanne Calderwood · Jun 21W
vs Miesha Tate · Jul 22L
vs Jessica Andrade · Jan 23L
vs Eduarda Moura · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valentina ShevchenkoMetricLauren Murphy
3.04
Strikes / min
3.94
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.19
63%
Strike defense
56%
2.65
TDs / 15 min
1.09
76%
Takedown defense
67%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Valentina ShevchenkoLauren Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Lauren Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+72.7-72.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Valentina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights18
Lauren Murphy
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15