Women's Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Valentina Shevchenko won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2025·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupValentina Shevchenko: WrestlervsZhang Weili: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Valentina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Zhang Weili enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Valentina Shevchenko has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Weili (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Valentina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Zhang Weili
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
38
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valentina ShevchenkoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Sep 21W
vs Taila Santos · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alexa Grasso · Mar 23W
vs Alexa Grasso · Sep 24W
vs Manon Fiorot · May 25Zhang WeiliW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Jun 22W
SUBvs Carla Esparza · Nov 22W
vs Amanda Lemos · Aug 23W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 24W
vs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valentina ShevchenkoMetricZhang Weili
3.04
Strikes / min
4.66
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
63%
Strike defense
53%
2.65
TDs / 15 min
1.96
76%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04evenly matched on net striking+2.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Valentina ShevchenkoZhang Weili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valentina Shevchenko(10 fights)Zhang Weili(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+71.9-71.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Valentina Shevchenko
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights18
Zhang Weili
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights9