Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michel Prazeres won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 21, 2015·Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupValmir Lazaro: Pressure fightervsMichel Prazeres: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Valmir Lazaro wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Michel Prazeres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valmir Lazaro has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Valmir Lazaro has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Valmir Lazaro
Red Corner
VS
Michel Prazeres
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
40
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valmir Lazaro
oldest →latest
L
vs James Vick · Aug 14W
vs James Krause · Feb 15Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valmir LazaroMetricMichel Prazeres
4.87
Strikes / min
2.38
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
61%
Strike defense
57%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
3.94
96%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.78evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Valmir LazaroMichel Prazeres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valmir Lazaro(3 fights)Michel Prazeres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Valmir Lazaro
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14