Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Lukasz Brzeski won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupValter Walker: WrestlervsLukasz Brzeski: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Valter Walker wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Lukasz Brzeski wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Valter Walker enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Lukasz Brzeski enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Lukasz Brzeski has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lukasz Brzeski has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Valter Walker
Red Corner
VS
Lukasz Brzeski
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
28
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Valter WalkerW4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Junior Tafa · Aug 24W
SUBvs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 25W
SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25W
SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25Lukasz BrzeskiL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 23L
KOvs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Aug 23L
KOvs Mick Parkin · Jul 24L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Dec 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Valter WalkerMetricLukasz Brzeski
2.00
Strikes / min
4.90
2.85
Strikes absorbed / min
3.65
42%
Strike defense
54%
5.74
TDs / 15 min
0.41
0%
Takedown defense
35%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.85Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap+1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Valter WalkerLukasz Brzeski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Valter Walker(5 fights)Lukasz Brzeski(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.1-38.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Valter Walker
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5
Lukasz Brzeski
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7