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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Valter Walker won · Submission R1

Elo1576

Elo1482

Valter WalkervsThomas PetersenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Valter Walker won

Submission · Round 1 · 1:32

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Valter Walker

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Valter Walker at -286 American odds · hypothetical only

+$35 profit

$135 total returned

Style matchupValter Walker: WrestlervsThomas Petersen: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Valter Walker enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Thomas Petersen has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Thomas Petersen has 87pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Valter Walker has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Valter Walker

Red Corner

Thomas Petersen

Blue Corner

-180

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+151

(40%)

1576

Elo

1482

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'6"

Height

6'1"

198.12 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Valter WalkerW4 streak

oldest →

vs Lukasz Brzeski · Apr 24

SUBvs Junior Tafa · Aug 24

SUBvs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 25

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 25

SUBvs Louie Sutherland · Oct 25

latest

Thomas Petersen

oldest →

vs Mohammed Usman · Jul 24

KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Feb 25

vs Don'Tale Mayes · May 25

KOvs Vitor Petrino · Oct 25

DECvs Guilherme Pat · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Valter WalkerMetricThomas Petersen

2.00

Strikes / min

3.10

2.85

Strikes absorbed / min

2.61

42%

Strike defense

54%

5.74

TDs / 15 min

3.01

Takedown defense

87%

2.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.49

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Valter Walker(6 fights)Thomas Petersen(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +94.1|Blue -94.1

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +161.0|Blue -161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Valter WalkerTargetThomas Petersen

By target zone

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

100% acc · 100%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Valter Walker rounds

even

Thomas Petersen rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:09

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 1

Sig Strikes

0 / 1

100%

Sig Str %

3 / 3

Total Strikes

6 / 7

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

0:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Thomas Petersen	0 / 1	6 / 7	0 / 1	0
1	Valter Walker	1 / 1	3 / 3	0 / 0	2

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Valter Walker

Odds

-286

Market-implied probability

Valter Walker 71%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Valter Walker (model pick · research)$135

Thomas Petersen$327

71% market-implied · model 55% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -286 · never rewritten

Valter Walker

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights6

Thomas Petersen

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7