Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Vanessa Demopoulos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 7, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Vanessa Demopoulos wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Vanessa Demopoulos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kanako Murata has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kanako Murata has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vanessa Demopoulos
Red Corner
VS
Kanako Murata
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
37
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'1"
149.86 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vanessa DemopoulosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 23W
vs Emily Ducote · May 24L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24L
vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25Kanako Murata
oldest →latest
W
vs Randa Markos · Nov 20L
KOvs Virna Jandiroba · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vanessa DemopoulosMetricKanako Murata
3.37
Strikes / min
2.15
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
41%
Strike defense
53%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
3.38
26%
Takedown defense
100%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.02Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vanessa DemopoulosKanako Murata
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)Kanako Murata(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.3-18.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-700.0700.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Vanessa Demopoulos
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach59.0"
Fights10
Kanako Murata
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights3