Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Talita Alencar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 5, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Vanessa Demopoulos wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Talita Alencar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Talita Alencar has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Talita Alencar has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vanessa Demopoulos
Red Corner
VS
Talita Alencar
Blue Corner
-112
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-104
(51%)
37
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'1"
149.86 cm
Reach
147.32 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vanessa DemopoulosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 23W
vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23W
vs Emily Ducote · May 24L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24L
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25Talita Alencar
oldest →latest
W
vs Rayanne dos Santos · Dec 23L
vs Stephanie Luciano · Aug 24W
SUBvs Ariane Carnelossi · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vanessa DemopoulosMetricTalita Alencar
3.37
Strikes / min
3.09
5.39
Strikes absorbed / min
3.67
41%
Strike defense
51%
0.32
TDs / 15 min
3.01
26%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.02Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.58
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vanessa DemopoulosTalita Alencar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)Talita Alencar(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.3-28.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Vanessa Demopoulos
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach59.0"
Fights10
Talita Alencar
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach58.0"
Fights4