Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Vaughan Lee won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 16, 2013·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Vaughan Lee wins(73.4%)
Actual result: Vaughan Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vaughan Lee has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Vaughan Lee has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Motonobu Tezuka (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Vaughan Lee
Red Corner
VS
Motonobu Tezuka
Blue Corner
-127
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+117
(46%)
43
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vaughan LeeL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs TJ Dillashaw · Jul 12L
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Jun 13W
vs Nam Phan · Mar 14L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · May 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 15Motonobu Tezuka
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex Caceres · Nov 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vaughan LeeMetricMotonobu Tezuka
3.47
Strikes / min
0.87
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
70%
Strike defense
51%
0.81
TDs / 15 min
1.50
72%
Takedown defense
0%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.40Δ 3.33 — meaningful gap-1.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vaughan LeeMotonobu Tezuka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vaughan Lee(8 fights)Motonobu Tezuka(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+122.0-122.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Vaughan Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights8
Motonobu Tezuka
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2