Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Veronica Hardy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Veronica Hardy wins(57.4%)
Actual result: Veronica Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Veronica Hardy has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brogan Walker (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Veronica Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Brogan Walker
Blue Corner
-770
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+540
(16%)
30
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'4"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Veronica Hardy
oldest →latest
W
vs Juliana Miller · Mar 23W
vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Dec 23W
vs JJ Aldrich · May 24L
vs Eduarda Moura · Nov 24Brogan WalkerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Juliana Miller · Aug 22L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Veronica HardyMetricBrogan Walker
3.06
Strikes / min
1.84
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
50%
Strike defense
47%
0.82
TDs / 15 min
1.02
51%
Takedown defense
11%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.18Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Veronica HardyBrogan Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Veronica Hardy(5 fights)Brogan Walker(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+63.3-63.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-574.0574.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Veronica Hardy
StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights5
Brogan Walker
StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3