Welterweight
5 Rounds
Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(56.2%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vicente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Belal Muhammad
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente LuqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricBelal Muhammad
4.80
Strikes / min
4.43
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
2.14
59%
Takedown defense
90%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vicente LuqueBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.7-19.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20