Welterweight
3 Rounds
Vicente Luque won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 24, 2016·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Vicente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vicente Luque is a KO finisher (53% of wins). Hector Urbina has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Vicente Luque has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Vicente Luque has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vicente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Hector Urbina
Blue Corner
-580
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+440
(19%)
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente LuqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Hector Urbina
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edgar Garcia · Nov 14L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricHector Urbina
4.80
Strikes / min
0.97
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
51%
Strike defense
39%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
0.00
59%
Takedown defense
38%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
3.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vicente LuqueHector Urbina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Hector Urbina(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.5-19.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-229.0229.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Hector Urbina
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3