Welterweight
3 Rounds
Joaquin Buckley won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2024·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsJoaquin Buckley: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(64.4%)
Actual result: Joaquin Buckley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquin Buckley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Vicente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Joaquin Buckley
Blue Corner
-148
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+124
(45%)
34
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente LuqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 22W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Joaquin Buckley
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Morono · Oct 23W
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 24W
KOvs Stephen Thompson · Oct 24W
KOvs Colby Covington · Dec 24L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricJoaquin Buckley
4.80
Strikes / min
3.62
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
51%
Strike defense
58%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
1.43
59%
Takedown defense
70%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vicente LuqueJoaquin Buckley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Joaquin Buckley(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+83.5-83.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Joaquin Buckley
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights16