Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Holland won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2025·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsKevin Holland: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(67.2%)
Actual result: Kevin Holland wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Holland has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Vicente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Holland
Blue Corner
+152
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-180
(64%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente Luque
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 22W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Kevin HollandL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Oct 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Jan 25W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25L
vs Mike Malott · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricKevin Holland
4.80
Strikes / min
4.24
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
0.79
59%
Takedown defense
57%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vicente LuqueKevin Holland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Kevin Holland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+71.4-71.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Kevin Holland
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights27