Welterweight
5 Rounds
Vicente Luque won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Vicente Luque wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Vicente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
- Vicente Luque has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Vicente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente LuqueL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 22L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24W
SUBvs Themba Gorimbo · Dec 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Rafael Dos AnjosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Renato Moicano · Mar 22L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricRafael Dos Anjos
4.80
Strikes / min
3.48
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
1.95
59%
Takedown defense
54%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vicente LuqueRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.38.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+119.0-119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32