Welterweight
3 Rounds
Vicente Luque won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVicente Luque: Pressure fightervsThemba Gorimbo: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Themba Gorimbo wins(65.6%)
Actual result: Vicente Luque wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vicente Luque enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Vicente Luque
Red Corner
VS
Themba Gorimbo
Blue Corner
-650
(87%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vicente LuqueL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Aug 22W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Aug 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Mar 24L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 25L
vs Joel Alvarez · Oct 25Themba Gorimbo
oldest →latest
W
vs Takashi Sato · May 23W
KOvs Pete Rodriguez · Feb 24W
vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24W
vs Niko Price · Oct 24L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vicente LuqueMetricThemba Gorimbo
4.80
Strikes / min
2.70
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
1.75
51%
Strike defense
51%
0.89
TDs / 15 min
4.52
59%
Takedown defense
73%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.44Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vicente LuqueThemba Gorimbo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vicente Luque(10 fights)Themba Gorimbo(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+64.3-64.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+196.0-196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Vicente Luque
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights23
Themba Gorimbo
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7