Flyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Hernandez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 26, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVictor Altamirano: WrestlervsCarlos Hernandez: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Victor Altamirano wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Carlos Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Altamirano (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Victor Altamirano
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Hernandez
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
35
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor AltamiranoL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Aug 22W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Mar 23L
vs Tim Elliott · Jun 23L
vs Felipe dos Santos · Feb 24L
vs Daniel Barez · Sep 24Carlos Hernandez
oldest →latest
W
vs Denys Bondar · Jun 23L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 23L
vs Rei Tsuruya · Jun 24W
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24L
SUBvs HyunSung Park · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor AltamiranoMetricCarlos Hernandez
4.58
Strikes / min
3.83
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
53%
Strike defense
50%
2.88
TDs / 15 min
1.56
63%
Takedown defense
65%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.76evenly matched on net striking+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Victor AltamiranoCarlos Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Altamirano(6 fights)Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Victor Altamirano
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Carlos Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7