Flyweight
3 Rounds
Felipe dos Santos won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 24, 2024·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Victor Altamirano wins(78.1%)
Actual result: Felipe dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Victor Altamirano has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Victor Altamirano has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Altamirano (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Victor Altamirano
Red Corner
VS
Felipe dos Santos
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-285
(74%)
35
Age
25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor AltamiranoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Carlos Hernandez · Feb 22W
KOvs Daniel Lacerda · Aug 22W
vs Vinicius Salvador · Mar 23L
vs Tim Elliott · Jun 23L
vs Daniel Barez · Sep 24Felipe dos SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Manel Kape · Sep 23L
vs Andre Lima · Sep 24L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor AltamiranoMetricFelipe dos Santos
4.58
Strikes / min
3.75
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
53%
Strike defense
41%
2.88
TDs / 15 min
0.00
63%
Takedown defense
20%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Victor AltamiranoFelipe dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Altamirano(6 fights)Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.9-12.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+98.0-98.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Victor Altamirano
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6
Felipe dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4