Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Victor Henry won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVictor Henry: Pressure fightervsTony Gravely: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Victor Henry wins(66.4%)
Actual result: Victor Henry wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Victor Henry has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Victor Henry
Red Corner
VS
Tony Gravely
Blue Corner
-142
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
39
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor Henry
oldest →latest
W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 22W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24W
vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25Tony Gravely
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Anthony Birchak · Apr 21L
KOvs Nate Maness · Sep 21W
vs Saimon Oliveira · Jan 22W
KOvs Johnny Munoz · Jun 22L
vs Javid Basharat · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor HenryMetricTony Gravely
7.17
Strikes / min
3.82
5.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.47
48%
Strike defense
44%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
5.40
81%
Takedown defense
52%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.98Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Victor HenryTony Gravely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Henry(6 fights)Tony Gravely(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.511.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Victor Henry
StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Tony Gravely
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8