Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tom Nolan won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVictor Martinez: Pressure fightervsTom Nolan: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Victor Martinez wins(51.5%)
Actual result: Tom Nolan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Nolan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Nolan (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Victor Martinez
Red Corner
VS
Tom Nolan
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
6'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor Martinez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Feb 23Tom NolanW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jan 24W
vs Alex Reyes · Aug 24W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Feb 25W
SUBvs Charlie Campbell · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor MartinezMetricTom Nolan
7.94
Strikes / min
5.87
7.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.73
53%
Strike defense
48%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.74
80%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.28evenly matched on net striking+1.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Victor MartinezTom Nolan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Martinez(2 fights)Tom Nolan(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+322.0-322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Victor Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2
Tom Nolan
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5