Lightweight
3 Rounds
Vinc Pichel won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 21, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVinc Pichel: WrestlervsAustin Hubbard: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Vinc Pichel wins(52.1%)
Actual result: Vinc Pichel wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Austin Hubbard has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vinc Pichel
Red Corner
VS
Austin Hubbard
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
43
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vinc PichelL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Jun 19W
vs Jim Miller · Aug 20L
vs Mark Madsen · Apr 22L
vs Ismael Bonfim · May 24L
vs Rafa Garcia · Mar 25Austin HubbardL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25L
vs Rongzhu · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vinc PichelMetricAustin Hubbard
3.78
Strikes / min
3.97
3.17
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
54%
Strike defense
55%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
1.63
31%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vinc PichelAustin Hubbard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vinc Pichel(10 fights)Austin Hubbard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.5-69.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+245.0-245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Vinc Pichel
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Austin Hubbard
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12