Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rustam Khabilov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVinc Pichel: WrestlervsRustam Khabilov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Rustam Khabilov wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Rustam Khabilov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rustam Khabilov has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rustam Khabilov has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vinc Pichel
Red Corner
VS
Rustam Khabilov
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-290
(74%)
43
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vinc PichelL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jim Miller · Aug 20W
vs Austin Hubbard · Aug 21L
vs Mark Madsen · Apr 22L
vs Ismael Bonfim · May 24L
vs Rafa Garcia · Mar 25Rustam Khabilov
oldest →latest
W
vs Jason Saggo · Dec 16W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 17W
vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18L
vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19W
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vinc PichelMetricRustam Khabilov
3.78
Strikes / min
1.98
3.17
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
54%
Strike defense
65%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
3.95
31%
Takedown defense
61%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking-0.18
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vinc Pichel(10 fights)Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Vinc Pichel
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Rustam Khabilov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13