Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Elijah Smith won · U-DEC R3
VM
ES
Vince MoralesvsElijah Smith
UFC Event · Saturday, February 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVince Morales: Well-roundedvsElijah Smith: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Elijah Smith wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Elijah Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Vince Morales
Red Corner
VS
Elijah Smith
Blue Corner
+104
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-122
(55%)
35
Age
23
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vince MoralesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 21L
vs Jonathan Martinez · May 22L
vs Miles Johns · Nov 22L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 24L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 25Elijah SmithW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Toshiomi Kazama · Aug 25W
SUBvs SuYoung You · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vince MoralesMetricElijah Smith
3.54
Strikes / min
4.18
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
54%
Strike defense
46%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
2.98
63%
Takedown defense
53%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vince MoralesElijah Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vince Morales(10 fights)Elijah Smith(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.836.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.249.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Vince Morales
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Elijah Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3