Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Mackenzie Dern won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, October 25, 2025·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupVirna Jandiroba: WrestlervsMackenzie Dern: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Virna Jandiroba wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Virna Jandiroba enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Virna Jandiroba has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Virna Jandiroba
Red Corner
VS
Mackenzie Dern
Blue Corner
+114
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-134
(57%)
37
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Virna JandirobaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Angela Hill · May 22W
vs Marina Rodriguez · May 23W
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24W
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25Mackenzie DernW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Angela Hill · May 23L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Virna JandirobaMetricMackenzie Dern
2.27
Strikes / min
3.47
2.86
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
55%
Strike defense
51%
3.13
TDs / 15 min
0.93
72%
Takedown defense
37%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Virna JandirobaMackenzie Dern
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Virna Jandiroba
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13
Mackenzie Dern
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16