Middleweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Belfort won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Anthony Johnson wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Vitor Belfort wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Johnson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Anthony Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anthony Johnson has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
- Anthony Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Belfort
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Johnson
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
49
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor Belfort
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18Anthony Johnson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15W
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15W
KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor BelfortMetricAnthony Johnson
1.59
Strikes / min
3.25
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
1.83
50%
Strike defense
60%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
2.43
53%
Takedown defense
77%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor BelfortAnthony Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Anthony Johnson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.335.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Vitor Belfort
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
Anthony Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11