Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gegard Mousasi won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 8, 2016·Manchester, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Gegard Mousasi wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Gegard Mousasi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gegard Mousasi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Gegard Mousasi is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Gegard Mousasi has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Belfort
Red Corner
VS
Gegard Mousasi
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
49
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor Belfort
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Weidman · May 15W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18Gegard MousasiW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Sep 15W
vs Thales Leites · Feb 16W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Jul 16W
KOvs Uriah Hall · Nov 16W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor BelfortMetricGegard Mousasi
1.59
Strikes / min
3.75
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
1.21
50%
Strike defense
68%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.59
53%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24Δ 3.78 — meaningful gap+2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor BelfortGegard Mousasi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Gegard Mousasi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.617.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Vitor Belfort
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
Gegard Mousasi
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12