Middleweight
3 Rounds
Lyoto Machida won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 12, 2018·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Vitor Belfort wins(60.5%)
Actual result: Lyoto Machida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lyoto Machida is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Lyoto Machida has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lyoto Machida has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Belfort
Red Corner
VS
Lyoto Machida
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
49
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor Belfort
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chris Weidman · May 15W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Jun 17Lyoto Machida
oldest →latest
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Jun 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
vs Eryk Anders · Feb 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor BelfortMetricLyoto Machida
1.59
Strikes / min
2.59
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
1.57
50%
Strike defense
61%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.21
53%
Takedown defense
75%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap+1.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor BelfortLyoto Machida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Lyoto Machida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+26.6-26.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+245.0-245.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Vitor Belfort
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13
Lyoto Machida
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights16