Middleweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Miranda won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Vitor Miranda wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Vitor Miranda wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Miranda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Vitor Miranda is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Marcelo Guimaraes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Vitor Miranda has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Vitor Miranda has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Miranda
Red Corner
VS
Marcelo Guimaraes
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
47
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor MirandaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jake Collier · Dec 14W
KOvs Clint Hester · Aug 15L
vs Chris Camozzi · May 16L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 17L
vs Abu Azaitar · Jul 18Marcelo Guimaraes
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Stittgen · Jul 12L
KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Mar 13W
vs Andy Enz · Jun 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor MirandaMetricMarcelo Guimaraes
2.98
Strikes / min
4.67
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.41
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
1.99
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor MirandaMarcelo Guimaraes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Miranda(7 fights)Marcelo Guimaraes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.7-10.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-399.0399.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Vitor Miranda
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7
Marcelo Guimaraes
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4