Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Petrino won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 12, 2025·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Vitor Petrino wins(59.3%)
Actual result: Vitor Petrino wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Petrino has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Vitor Petrino has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Petrino
Red Corner
VS
Austen Lane
Blue Corner
-650
(87%)
Vegas Odds
+420
(19%)
28
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor PetrinoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tyson Pedro · Mar 24L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26Austen LaneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Sep 23L
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Apr 24W
vs Robelis Despaigne · Oct 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Mar 25L
KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor PetrinoMetricAusten Lane
3.24
Strikes / min
2.70
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.45
51%
Strike defense
39%
2.60
TDs / 15 min
1.50
79%
Takedown defense
33%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor PetrinoAusten Lane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Austen Lane(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+51.1-51.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Vitor Petrino
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Austen Lane
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights6