Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Petrino won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 8, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVitor Petrino: WrestlervsMarcin Prachnio: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Vitor Petrino wins(64.0%)
Actual result: Vitor Petrino wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Vitor Petrino has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Vitor Petrino has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Petrino
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Prachnio
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
28
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor PetrinoW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Philipe Lins · Apr 22W
vs William Knight · Feb 23W
vs Devin Clark · Feb 24L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor PetrinoMetricMarcin Prachnio
3.24
Strikes / min
5.52
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
51%
Strike defense
54%
2.60
TDs / 15 min
0.14
79%
Takedown defense
53%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53Δ 1.84 — meaningful gap+2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor PetrinoMarcin Prachnio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.3-25.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Vitor Petrino
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Marcin Prachnio
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11