Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Petrino won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 14, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupVitor Petrino: WrestlervsSteven Asplund: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Vitor Petrino wins(51.6%)
Actual result: Vitor Petrino wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steven Asplund is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Vitor Petrino has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Steven Asplund has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Petrino
Red Corner
VS
Steven Asplund
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
28
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'5"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor PetrinoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tyson Pedro · Mar 24L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25Steven Asplund
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor PetrinoMetricSteven Asplund
3.24
Strikes / min
10.05
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
6.64
51%
Strike defense
50%
2.60
TDs / 15 min
0.00
79%
Takedown defense
100%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53Δ 2.88 — meaningful gap+3.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor PetrinoSteven Asplund
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Steven Asplund(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.8-36.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Vitor Petrino
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Steven Asplund
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights2