Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Vitor Petrino won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 11, 2025·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupVitor Petrino: WrestlervsThomas Petersen: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Thomas Petersen wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Vitor Petrino wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Petersen (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Vitor Petrino
Red Corner
VS
Thomas Petersen
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
28
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor PetrinoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tyson Pedro · Mar 24L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · May 24L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26Thomas Petersen
oldest →latest
L
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 24W
vs Mohammed Usman · Jul 24L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Feb 25W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor PetrinoMetricThomas Petersen
3.24
Strikes / min
3.10
2.71
Strikes absorbed / min
2.61
51%
Strike defense
54%
2.60
TDs / 15 min
3.01
79%
Takedown defense
87%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Vitor PetrinoThomas Petersen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Petrino(9 fights)Thomas Petersen(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.7-35.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Vitor Petrino
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Thomas Petersen
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6