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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Gilbert Urbina won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1474

Elo1514

Vlasto CepovsGilbert UrbinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Official fight result

Gilbert Urbina won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:01

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Vlasto Cepo

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Vlasto Cepo at -328 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Vlasto Cepo

Red Corner

Gilbert Urbina

Blue Corner

-328

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+257

(28%)

1474

Elo

1514

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

Orthodox

N/A

Height

6'3"

N/A

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Vlasto CepoNo prior UFC fights on record.

Gilbert UrbinaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Bryan Battle · Aug 21

KOvs Orion Cosce · May 23

KOvs Charles Radtke · Feb 24

KOvs Uros Medic · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Vlasto CepoMetricGilbert Urbina

—

Strikes / min

5.57

—

Strikes absorbed / min

4.62

—

Strike defense

44%

—

TDs / 15 min

2.86

—

Takedown defense

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Vlasto Cepo(1 fights)Gilbert Urbina(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -40.1|Blue +40.1

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +49.3|Blue -49.3

Grappler Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Vlasto CepoTargetGilbert Urbina

By target zone

23% acc · 71%

Head

60% acc · 90%

100% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

29% acc · 100%

Distance

36% acc · 27%

Clinch

Ground

85% acc · 73%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Vlasto Cepo rounds

even

Gilbert Urbina rounds

Round 1Gilbert Urbina edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 24

Sig Strikes

30 / 48

29%

Sig Str %

62%

7 / 24

Total Strikes

36 / 54

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gilbert Urbina	30 / 48	36 / 54	0 / 0	0
1	Vlasto Cepo	7 / 24	7 / 24	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Vlasto Cepo

Odds

-328

Market-implied probability

Vlasto Cepo 73%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Vlasto Cepo (model pick · research)$130

Gilbert Urbina$357

73% market-implied · model 55% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Vlasto Cepo

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1

Gilbert Urbina

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6