Light Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 27, 2018·Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Volkan Oezdemir
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Volkan Oezdemir
oldest →latest
L
vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22W
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Volkan OezdemirMetricAnthony Smith
4.99
Strikes / min
3.19
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
55%
Strike defense
44%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.44
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Volkan OezdemirAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.312.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+183.0-183.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Volkan Oezdemir
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights16
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25