Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Volkan Oezdemir won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 2, 2023·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsBogdan Guskov: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Bogdan Guskov wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Volkan Oezdemir wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Volkan Oezdemir
Red Corner
VS
Bogdan Guskov
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Volkan Oezdemir
oldest →latest
W
vs Paul Craig · Jul 22L
vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25Bogdan Guskov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Feb 24W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Apr 24W
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 25D
vs Jan Blachowicz · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Volkan OezdemirMetricBogdan Guskov
4.99
Strikes / min
4.57
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
55%
Strike defense
44%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
80%
Takedown defense
57%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Volkan OezdemirBogdan Guskov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Bogdan Guskov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.8-15.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Volkan Oezdemir
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights16
Bogdan Guskov
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6