Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Ulberg won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 23, 2024·Macau, China, China
Style matchupVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fightervsCarlos Ulberg: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Carlos Ulberg wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Carlos Ulberg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Volkan Oezdemir enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Volkan Oezdemir
Red Corner
VS
Carlos Ulberg
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Volkan OezdemirW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Paul Craig · Jul 22L
vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22W
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ihor Potieria · May 23W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Volkan OezdemirMetricCarlos Ulberg
4.99
Strikes / min
6.57
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
4.03
55%
Strike defense
51%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.53
80%
Takedown defense
85%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.80Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+2.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Volkan OezdemirCarlos Ulberg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-29.429.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Volkan Oezdemir
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights16
Carlos Ulberg
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights10