Welterweight
3 Rounds
Colby Covington won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 8, 2014·Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Colby Covington wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Colby Covington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Wagner Silva has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Wagner Silva
Red Corner
VS
Colby Covington
Blue Corner
+435
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-500
(83%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wagner Silva
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ricardo Abreu · May 14Colby CovingtonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 20L
vs Kamaru Usman · Nov 21W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wagner SilvaMetricColby Covington
1.69
Strikes / min
3.81
2.87
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
65%
Strike defense
54%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.64
58%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.18Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Wagner SilvaColby Covington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wagner Silva(2 fights)Colby Covington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-38.038.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Wagner Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2
Colby Covington
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17