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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1559
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Elo1496
Curtis Blaydes

Waldo Cortes AcostavsCurtis BlaydesUFC Prediction

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Saturday, September 12, 2026Glendale, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupWaldo Cortes Acosta: Pressure fightervsCurtis Blaydes: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 83% of fights by KO.
  • Waldo Cortes Acosta has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Waldo Cortes Acosta
Red Corner
VS
Curtis Blaydes
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1559
Elo
1496
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Waldo Cortes Acosta
oldest →
L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25
W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25
W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26
L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · May 26
latest
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23
W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24
L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24
W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25
L
DECvs Josh Hokit · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Waldo Cortes AcostaMetricCurtis Blaydes
5.34
Strikes / min
4.18
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
5.12
73%
Takedown defense
35%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.71evenly matched on net striking+1.42
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801508153515631590← oldermost recent →
Waldo Cortes Acosta(10 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO100%

Historical win share: Waldo Cortes Acosta earned 80% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission0%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Waldo Cortes Acosta

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights7

Curtis Blaydes

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19