Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Waldo Cortes Acosta won · KO/TKO R2
WA
DL
Waldo Cortes AcostavsDerrick Lewis
UFC Event · Saturday, January 24, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 73% of fights by KO.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Red Corner
VS
Derrick Lewis
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Waldo Cortes AcostaW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 25W
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25Derrick LewisW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Feb 23W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Waldo Cortes AcostaMetricDerrick Lewis
5.34
Strikes / min
2.46
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
54%
Strike defense
39%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
0.55
73%
Takedown defense
52%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.71Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Waldo Cortes AcostaDerrick Lewis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Waldo Cortes Acosta(6 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-50.750.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-133.0133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Waldo Cortes Acosta
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6
Derrick Lewis
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights31