Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Waldo Cortes Acosta won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupWaldo Cortes Acosta: Pressure fightervsRyan Spann: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Waldo Cortes Acosta wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Ryan Spann has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Waldo Cortes Acosta has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Spann
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'5"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Waldo Cortes AcostaW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 25L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Aug 25W
KOvs Ante Delija · Nov 25W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Nov 25W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jan 26Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Nikita Krylov · Mar 23L
vs Anthony Smith · Aug 23L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Waldo Cortes AcostaMetricRyan Spann
5.34
Strikes / min
3.11
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
54%
Strike defense
43%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
1.21
73%
Takedown defense
59%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.71Δ 2.52 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Waldo Cortes AcostaRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Waldo Cortes Acosta(6 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-39.039.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Waldo Cortes Acosta
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6
Ryan Spann
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15