Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Walel Watson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2011·Washington, DC, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Joseph Sandoval wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Walel Watson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walel Watson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walel Watson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Joseph Sandoval has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Joseph Sandoval has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Walel Watson has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Sandoval (53.5%).
- Walel Watson has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Walel Watson
Red Corner
VS
Joseph Sandoval
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
41
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'7"
190.5 cm
Reach
168 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Walel WatsonL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Yves Jabouin · Dec 11L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Feb 12L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 12Joseph Sandoval
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Nick Denis · Jan 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Walel WatsonMetricJoseph Sandoval
2.10
Strikes / min
1.82
3.79
Strikes absorbed / min
12.12
43%
Strike defense
60%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
61%
Takedown defense
0%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.69Δ 8.61 — meaningful gap-10.30
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Walel Watson(4 fights)Joseph Sandoval(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Walel Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Joseph Sandoval
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2