Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Yves Jabouin won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2011·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Walel Watson wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Yves Jabouin wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walel Watson is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Yves Jabouin has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Yves Jabouin has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yves Jabouin has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Walel Watson has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Walel Watson
Red Corner
VS
Yves Jabouin
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
41
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
190.5 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Walel WatsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Joseph Sandoval · Oct 11L
vs TJ Dillashaw · Feb 12L
SUBvs Mitch Gagnon · Sep 12Yves JabouinL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Dustin Pague · Jun 13L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jan 14W
vs Mike Easton · Jun 14L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Apr 15L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Walel WatsonMetricYves Jabouin
2.10
Strikes / min
3.06
3.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
43%
Strike defense
62%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.94
61%
Takedown defense
82%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.69Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Walel WatsonYves Jabouin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Walel Watson(4 fights)Yves Jabouin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.6-14.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Walel Watson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4
Yves Jabouin
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10