Featherweight
3 Rounds
Wang Guan won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 25, 2017·Shanghai, Hebei, China, China
Style matchupWang Guan: StrikervsAlex Caceres: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Wang Guan wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Wang Guan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Wang Guan
Red Corner
VS
Alex Caceres
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
40
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wang GuanNo prior UFC fights on record.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wang GuanMetricAlex Caceres
4.73
Strikes / min
4.21
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.09
60%
Strike defense
62%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.54
0%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.46evenly matched on net striking+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Wang GuanAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wang Guan(1 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+47.6-47.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
Wang Guan
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29