Welterweight
3 Rounds
Warlley Alves won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 8, 2014·Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupWarlley Alves: Well-roundedvsAlan Jouban: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Warlley Alves wins(56.6%)
Actual result: Warlley Alves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alan Jouban has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Warlley Alves
Red Corner
VS
Alan Jouban
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
35
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Alan Jouban
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricAlan Jouban
3.04
Strikes / min
5.67
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.77
50%
Strike defense
60%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
0.51
62%
Takedown defense
58%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91Δ 2.81 — meaningful gap+1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Warlley AlvesAlan Jouban
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Alan Jouban(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.70.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Alan Jouban
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13