Welterweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Barberena won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2016·Curitiba, Parana, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupWarlley Alves: Well-roundedvsBryan Barberena: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Warlley Alves wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Bryan Barberena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryan Barberena (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Warlley Alves
Red Corner
VS
Bryan Barberena
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
35
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Bryan BarberenaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricBryan Barberena
3.04
Strikes / min
5.35
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
50%
Strike defense
44%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
0.13
62%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Warlley AlvesBryan Barberena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Bryan Barberena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.8-52.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Bryan Barberena
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19