Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jeremiah Wells won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 26, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupWarlley Alves: Well-roundedvsJeremiah Wells: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Jeremiah Wells wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Jeremiah Wells wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremiah Wells (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Warlley Alves
Red Corner
VS
Jeremiah Wells
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+187
(35%)
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Nov 19W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Jeremiah Wells
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Apr 23L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · Aug 23L
vs Max Griffin · Feb 24W
vs Themba Gorimbo · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricJeremiah Wells
3.04
Strikes / min
2.35
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
1.28
50%
Strike defense
48%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
3.06
62%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91Δ 1.98 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Warlley AlvesJeremiah Wells
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+65.6-65.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Jeremiah Wells
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7