Welterweight
3 Rounds
Warlley Alves won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Wednesday, January 20, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupWarlley Alves: Well-roundedvsMounir Lazzez: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Warlley Alves wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Warlley Alves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Mounir Lazzez has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Warlley Alves
Red Corner
VS
Mounir Lazzez
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
35
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Nov 19L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Mounir Lazzez
oldest →latest
W
vs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Jul 20W
vs Ange Loosa · Apr 22L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jan 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricMounir Lazzez
3.04
Strikes / min
7.49
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
5.42
50%
Strike defense
53%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
1.80
62%
Takedown defense
71%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap+2.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Warlley AlvesMounir Lazzez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Mounir Lazzez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.2-27.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+242.0-242.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Mounir Lazzez
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4