Welterweight
3 Rounds
Warlley Alves won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 12, 2018·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Sultan Aliev wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Warlley Alves wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Sultan Aliev has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Warlley Alves
Red Corner
VS
Sultan Aliev
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
35
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24Sultan AlievW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kenny Robertson · Jan 15W
vs Bojan Velickovic · Dec 16W
vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricSultan Aliev
3.04
Strikes / min
1.41
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
50%
Strike defense
56%
1.22
TDs / 15 min
1.76
62%
Takedown defense
100%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.91evenly matched on net striking-0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Warlley AlvesSultan Aliev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Sultan Aliev(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-308.0308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Warlley Alves
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Sultan Aliev
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4