Lightweight
3 Rounds
Waylon Lowe won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2011·Killeen, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Waylon Lowe wins(75.0%)
Actual result: Waylon Lowe wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Waylon Lowe (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Waylon Lowe
Red Corner
VS
Willamy Freire
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
45
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
174 cm
Reach
178 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Waylon Lowe
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · May 10W
vs Steve Lopez · Sep 10L
SUBvs Nik Lentz · Mar 11Willamy FreireNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Waylon LoweMetricWillamy Freire
1.88
Strikes / min
1.53
2.40
Strikes absorbed / min
0.93
53%
Strike defense
62%
4.47
TDs / 15 min
0.50
83%
Takedown defense
73%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Waylon LoweWillamy Freire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Waylon Lowe(4 fights)Willamy Freire(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Waylon Lowe
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights4
Willamy Freire
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights1